Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Pick 19: TuTo - TiPS Under 2.5

I seem to be missing something here. When two teams that have scored 17 goals in 24 matches combined meet shouldn't the under be the odds on favorite? The odds on under are a stunning 2.4. I am not saying this cant end up 5-4, but for odds of 2.4 we can sure give it a try.

Pick: Under 2.5 @2.4 (bwin)
Stake:50

Result: 3-0
W-L: 12-7
P/L: -50

Overall P/L:
+348.56, total bets: 1425€, ROI 24.46%

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Pick 18: FC Lustenau- LASK Linz

FC Lustenau has an extremely young team (the oldest player in the squad is born 1985) which will take some time to blend. LASK on the other hand were relegated from the Bundesliga last season and will do anything tho get back this season. They have won 5/5 of their friendly pre-season matches.

Tip: LASK win @2.1 (Dafabet)
Stake: 50

Result: 1-1 draw
W-L: 12-6
P/L: -50

Overall P/L:
+398.56, total bets: 1375€, ROI 28.98%

Pick 17: Valletta- Ekranas

I can't believe the odds on Ekranas are over 2. In its domestic league Ekranas has a 13-4-0 record with only 4 conceded goals and today they are facing a weak opponent that cant be much stronger than the average Lithuanian team. In my opinion Valletta will spend most of the match defending its goal and Ekranas shouldn't have a lot of problems in breaking them, especially since they have played lots of similar games in their own league where one team is defending and they are attacking all the time. Anything but an away win here will be a big surprise.

My tip: Ekranas win @2.39 Pinnaclesports.com
Result: Ekranas won 3-2
W-L: 12-5
P/L: +139

Overall P/L:
+448.56, total bets: 1325

Monday, July 11, 2011

Pick 16: Handicap: Argentina (-1.5) v Costa Rica

Argentina will give its best after the two disappointing draws to start the championship. Costa Rica will enter the game much more relaxed as it already has a win and a secured spot further in the groups.

Tip: Argentina (-1.5) 1.63 @bet365
Stake: 75

Result: Argentina beat CR 3-0
W-L: 11-5
P/L: +47.25

Overall P/L:
+309.56, total bets: 1225€, ROI 25.27%

Pick 15: Tommy Robredo- Filippo Volandri

Robredo is in terrible form at the moment. Head to head is 4-3 (all on clay) in favor of Robredo but their last match was back in 2007. This will be a tough matchup and having Volandri at 3.64 is super awesome value.


Tip: Volandri @3.64 (Pinnacle Sports)
Stake: 50

Result: Volandri won after Robredo retired in the 2nd set. According to Pinnacle rules the bet stands. Had it been bet365, the bet would have been void
W-L: 10-5
P/L: +132

Overall P/L:
+262.31, total bets: 1150€, ROI 22.8%

Lay the away favorite- Day 12

Today's max liability is 46.98.

1. Arsenal Kiev- Dnipro lay@1.61
2. Volgar- Alania lay @1.44

W-L: 2-0
P-L: +174.59

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Pick 14: Palmeiras- Santos

Santos has three key players playing the Copa America, while Palmeiras has only one (Valdivilla- Chile). At 1.91 this is way too good to miss.

Tip: Palmeiras @1.91 Ladbrokes
Stake: 100

Result: Palmeiras won 3-0
W-L: 9-5
P/L: +91

Overall P/L:
+130.31, total bets: 1100€, ROI 11.84%

Friday, July 8, 2011

Lay the away favorite- Day 11

Max liability is 47.21.

1. Wexford v Monaghan lay@1.47 1-2

W/L: 0-1
P/L: -47.21

Sunday, July 3, 2011

Lay the away favorite- Day 10

Maximum liability is 47.12.

1. ROPS v Marienhamn lay@1.99 1-1 +45.21
2. LoPa v Ilves lay@1.54 2-3 -47.12
3. Fjolnir v Vestmannaeyjar lay@1.88 1-2 -47.12
4. Randaberg v Bodo/Glimt lay@1.67 2-0 +66.81

W/L: 2-2
P/L: +17.78

Friday, July 1, 2011

Lay the away favorite- Day 9

Maximum liability is 47.84.

1. Bray v Sligo lay@1.74 (liab 47.84, pot.win 61.41)
2. Drogheda v Derry lay@ 1.43 (liab 47.84, pot.win 105.69)
3. Galway v UCD @1.59 (liab 47.84, pot win 77.03)

W-L 0-3
P/L: -143.52