Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Pick 26: Palmeiras- Flamengo RJ

This one will be a good match up between two of Brazil's top sides so i don't expect much fireworks. The odds for under 2.5 dont seem right to me, but i see some value in the under 2.75 (half bet under 2.5, other half under 3 goals). Pinnacle is offering them at 1.66 and i think its worth a shot.

Tip: Under 2.75 @1.66 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 50

Result: 0-0
W-L: 16-10
P/L: +33
Overall P/L: +491.31, total bets: 1925€, ROI 25.52%

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Pick 25: Uruguay- Peru

With all the speculation over how both teams had full 120mins of matches the previous round and how everybody will be so tired, the price for the Over 2.5 skyrocketed. Lets not forget that we are speaking of South American teams capable of scoring at any given moment, given just a hint of a chance. With that firepower packed especially in Uruguay's team and the odds at 2.22 i just cant let the AH +2.25 go.

Tip: Over 2.25(Asian Handicap) @2.22(Ladbrokes)
Stake: 75

Result: 0-2
W-L: 15-10
P/L: -37.5
Overall P/L: +458.31, total bets: 1875€, ROI 24.44%

Sunday, July 17, 2011

Lay the away favorite- Day 15

Max. liability is 47.92. (Betfair)

1.Ural- Rubin Kazan lay@1.87 0-0 WON 52.32
2. Sonderjyske - FC copenhagen lay@1.52 LOST 47.92
3. ROPS- Honka lay@ 1.69 LOST 47.92
4. OPS Jp- Lahti lay@1.85 WON 53.55
5. Grindavik- IBV lay @1.98 WON 46,45
6. Halmstad- Elfsborg lay @1.54 LOST 47.92

W-L: 3-3
P-L: 8.56

Pick 24: Gais v Orebro

Orebro are in terrible form topped by the midweek draw at home vs bosnian Sarajevo in the Europa league. GAIS are in good form and are showing some solid home performances. At odds of 2.00 i see great value in this match.

Tip: GAIS win @2 (bwin)
Stake: 75

Result: 4-1
W-L: 15-9
P/L: +75€
Overall P/L: +495.81, total bets: 1800€, ROI 27.54%

Saturday, July 16, 2011

Pick 23: St.Pauli- FC Ingolstadt

St Pauli showed some impresive results in the pre season friendlies, beating two of the top Danish teams at its own home field. Ingolstadt on the other hand had some miserable results topped by the 6-1 loss to Wehen. At 1.97 this is a good value bet.

Tip: St Pauli win @1.97 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake 75


Result: 2-0
W-L: 14-9
P/L: +72.75€
Overall P/L: +420.81, total bets: 1725€, ROI 24.39%

Friday, July 15, 2011

Pick 22: Pironkova- Penetta

Well i guess Pironkova is becoming my favorite tennis player. She is again offered at whopping 2.45 in a match she could win just as easily as she could lose. Penetta hasn't shown much in terms of form lately while Pironkova went deep in Wimbledon beating Williams and Zvonareva and ended up losing to the eventual winner Kvitova. At 2.45 i would be more than tempted to try this.

Tip: Pironkova win @2.45 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 50

Result: 0-2 guess it wasnt Pironkovas day after all
W-L: 13-9
P/L: -50€
Overall P/L: +348.06, total bets: 1650€, ROI 21,09%

Pick 21: Greuter - Eintracht

If the pre-season friendly matches are any indicator this match should be a goalfest. The last match Greuter played ended in a 17-0 thrashing of some poor bastards and as far as Eintracht is concerned, the last 3 matches they played this summer have an average of over 5 goals per match.

Tip: Asian handicap: Over 2.25 @1.87 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 100

Result: 2-3
W-L: 13-8
P/L: +87€
Overall P/L: +398.06, total bets: 1600€, ROI 24,87%

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Pick 20: Iskra Stal- Varteks

This one wont be as dry as the bookies expect it to be. Both teams score and concede a lot of goals.

Tip: Over 2.25 @1.925 (bet365)
Stake: 75

Result: 1-1, half stake (37.5) is returned, rest is lost
W-L: 12-8
P/L: -37.5

Overall P/L:
+311.06, total bets: 1500€, ROI 20.73%

Lay the away favorite- Day 14

Maximum liability is 47.67.

1. Suduva- Elfsborg lay @1.52 WON 87.08
2. Glentoran- Vorskla lay@1.64 LOST -47.67
3. Flamurtari- Jablonec lay@1.89 LOST -47.67
4. Vlaznia - Thun lay@1.86 WON 52.65
5. Metalurgs- Salzburg lay@1.5 LOST -47.67
6. PS Kemi- Oulu lay@1.85 WON 53.27

W-L: 3-3
P-L: +50

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Lay the away favorite- Day 13

Liability is 47.85

1. Skenderbeu- APOEL lay @1.7 LOST -47.85
2. Bangor- HJK lay @1.45 LOST -47.85
3. Linfield- BATE lay@1.42 WON +108.23
4. Sconto- Wisla lay@1.76 LOST -47.85

W-L 1-3
P-L -35.31