MLB 22.4.2013

	Total win chance	Min odds
OAK	0.5090	1.965
BOS	0.4910	2.037

TIP: OAK @ 2.23 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
PIT	0.5330	1.876
PHI	0.4670	2.141

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
STL	0.4606	2.171
WAS	0.5394	1.854

TIP: WAS @ 2.03 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
TOR	0.4828	2.071
BAL	0.5172	1.933

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
CHC	0.4822	2.074
CIN	0.5178	1.931

TIP: CHC @ 2.43 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
NYY	0.5234	1.911
TB	0.4766	2.098

TIP: NYY @ 2.11 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
CLE	0.5174	1.933
CWS	0.4826	2.072

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
SEA	0.5219	1.916
HOU	0.4781	2.092

TIP: HOU@ 2.56 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
ATL	0.5318	1.881
COL	0.4682	2.136

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
TEX	0.5139	1.946
LAA	0.4861	2.057

TIP: TEX @ 2.04 WON

MLB 18.4.2013 (Part II)

	Total win chance	Min odds
ARI	0.5114	1.955
NYY	0.4886	2.047

TIP: ARI @ 2.04 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
ATL	0.5410	1.849
PIT	0.4590	2.178

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
BOS	0.5332	1.875
CLE	0.4668	2.142

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
STL	0.4976	2.009
PHI	0.5024	1.991

TIP: PHI @ 2.04 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
TB	0.4591	2.178
BAL	0.5409	1.849

TIP: BAL @ 2.2 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
CWS	0.5459	1.832
TOR	0.4541	2.202

TIP: CWS @ 2.04 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
MIA	0.4468	2.238
CIN	0.5532	1.808

TIP: MIA @ 2.65 LOST

MLB 18.4.2013

	Total win chance	Min odds
TEX	0.5539	1.806
CHC	0.4461	2.241

TIP: CHC @ 2.31 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
NYM	0.4920	2.032
COL	0.5080	1.969

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
DET	0.5175	1.932
SEA	0.4825	2.072

TIP: SEA @ 2.48 WON

MLB: 17.4.2013

Analyzed just the first one. Will post more later.

	Total win chance	Min odds
HOU	0.4410	2.268
OAK	0.5590	1.789

TIP: HOU @ 2.65 LOST

MLB 16.4

	Total win chance	Min odds
ARI	0.5264	1.900
NYY	0.4736	2.112

 TIP: ARI@2.15 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
BOS	0.5021	1.992
CLE	0.4979	2.008

	Total win chance	Min odds
STL	0.4951	2.020
PIT	0.5049	1.981

 TIP: PIT @2.27 VOID

MLB 15.4.2013

I will gradually post the odds as i calculate them. For now just these two matches: (all odds from Pinnacle)

	Total win chance	Min odds
stl	0.5070	1.972
pit	0.4930	2.028

NO BET 

	Total win chance	Min odds
cws	0.5143	1.945
tor	0.4857	2.059

TIP: CWS @2.17 LOST

What's cooking

Not much, currently awaiting the teams to have at least ten games each, mostly because of the bullpens performances. They are an important factor in my formulas and I don't want to be basing my tips on weak statistical indicators.

MLB 1.4.2013 SF Giants- LA Dodgers

	Total win chance	Min odds
SF	0,4884	2,048
LAD	0,5116	1,955

TIP: SF are available @ 2.38 on Pinnacle. LOST

MLB 1.4.13 BOS Red Sox- NY Yankees

1 hour to the 1st pitch in this one. Lester facing CC Sabathia. My calculations for the match:

Def % of win

0,4809

0,5191

Offensive lineups and MLB career OPS:

	OPS			OPS
elisbury	0,791		gardner	0,723
victorino	0,770		nunez	0,701
pedroia	0,830		cano	0,854
napoli	0,863		youkilis	0,867
middlebrooks	0,835		wells	0,788
saltalamacchia	0,720		francisco	0,751
gomes	0,790		ichiro	0,784
bradley		N/A	nix	0,655
iglesias	0,413		cerveli	0,692
AVERAGE	0,752		AVERAGE	0,757

Off % of win

0,4983

0,5017

Cumulative odds expectation:

	Total win chance	Min odds
BOS	0,4896	2,042
NYY	0,5104	1,959

Tip: There is thin value on NYY @ 1.962 (Pinnacle) LOST

The MLB is here!!

After yesterday's opener between Houston and Texas the first day of full schedule is upon us. Yaaaaaay!! I've already planned a quintuple-header. First I'll watch the game between HOU and TEX and then I'll follow it up with the quadruple-header on ESPN America. Given its the start of the season I will not go crazy betting until we have some meaningful data. I will however analyze the matches that i am going to watch, so be on the lookout for tips later this afternoon.