Pick 73: Plzen- Teplice

No more bullshit, Plzen have to start playing good in the league. Todays match will be an open one because both teams like scoring more than they like defending. The odds on over 2.5 are too good to miss.

Pick: Over 2.5@ 2.09 (12bet)
Stake: 75

Result: 2-0, bet lost

Pick 72: M.Fish- E.Gulbis

Don't see why Fish is such a big favorite pre-game. They've met only once this year in LA and Gulbis won it in three sets. Last round Gulbis had a simple win against Lodra, where Lodra played only one set and retired so he should be the fresher of the two. At odds of 2.47 i cant miss this. Also some value offered on the handicap betting and the overs, the line of which moves somewhere along 22.5.

Pick: Gulbis @2.47(youwin)
Stake: 50

Result: Gulbis lost 2-1, great battle as expected
W-L-Void: 38-33-1
Overall P/L: +678.81
Total bets: 5275€
ROI 12.86%

Pick 71: Bystrc- Znojmo

These two teams know each other well from the Czech 3rd league, where they have played together many seasons. However, things have changed and Bystrc got relegated to the 4th league and Znojmo is in the second league and according to me will be one of the contenders to enter Gambrinus league. They have a lot of experienced players that have played first league and will surely want to prove they are worth the attention by playing good in the National cup. As a bonus Znojmo basically doesn't have a B team so the coach can not manipulate much with the starting lineup.
The winner of this match gets to meet Bohemians 1905, a team that fills stadiums both home and away as they have a strong support core. That will surely be a motivation for Znojmo to play focused and beat Bystrc.

Tip: Znojmo win @1.55 (Bet-at-home)
Stake: 100

Result: 1-1
W-L-Void: 38-32-1
P/L: -100, Total P/L: +728.81
Total bets: 5225€
ROI 13.94%

Lay the away favorite- Day 19

Two games today. Max liability is 47.63

1. Rotheram-Leicester lay@1.72 LOST -47.63
2. Plymouth- Milwall lay@1.86 LOST -47.63

Total: 0-2
P/L: -95.26

Pick 70: Teteks- Ohrid

Not many bookies offer odds on Macedonian league, but i think i found nice odds nevertheless. I can write a truly long preview about how they are equal, how they both suck and how they both don't have any money, but i won't. Instead of that i will just say one thing: In a league where the players are poorly paid and cant make ends meet its always good to bet on the underdog. You never know when will the keeper of the favorite say "I'm fed up with this" and let two suspicious goals in. I am not saying this match is fixed. All i am saying is that the players know that odds are being offered on their matches and sometimes desperate times ask for desperate measures.

Pick: Draw or Ohrid (Double chance)@ 2.9(bwin)
Stake: 100

Result: Bet won, full time 1-1
P/L: +190
W-L-Void:38-31-1
Overall P/L: +828.81, Total bets: 5125€, ROI 16.17%


NOTE FOR SELF: This is the post where i went from manual accounting to excel spreadsheet. Hence the discrepancy between previous post and this one.

Pick 69: Hansa- Bochum

2nd Bundesliga is a goalscoring league and any opportunity you can get at betting on goal line 2.25 or fewer you should take it.
These two teams played a 2-2 draw this year in the German cup and have played 3 of their 4 matches in this season with 2 or more goals. My opinion is that at least 2 goals will be scored to return half the money. Anything above is a bonus:).

Pick: Over 2.25 @1.87(Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake:75

Result:0-0
W-L-Void: 37-31-1
P/L: -75
Overall P/L: +668.81, Total bets: 5100€, ROI 13.11%

Pick 68: Start-Haugesund

Lots of experts on Scandinavian leagues seem to be leaning on Start's side for this match. They are rock bottom for quite some while, but have showed some signs of life after the change of coach 3 matches ago. Its true they lost all of those matches, but those were against quality opposition and still there were signs of improvement.
On the other hand, their opposition today, Haugesund are a middle of the table team with no European ambitions so they might enter the match a bit relaxed.

Pick: Start +0(AH) @1.79 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 50

Result:LOST
W-L-Void: 37-30-1
P/L: -50
Overall P/L: +743.81, Total bets: 5025€, ROI 14.80%

Pick 67: Bohemians 1905- Plzen

Odds on Bohemians for this one are just too good to let go. Plzen had a tough match against Rosenborg midweek and ended up with an emotional win. Usually after a tough match its tough to gather the composure and focus on the league. Fatigue will probably be a factor too. Bohemians on the other hand had a big win in the first round against Slavia and they played rather well. The simple truth is: Bohemians have much bigger chances than what the bookies are giving them (20% or so) and i'd be more than willing to take these odds.

Pick: Bohemians win @4.65 (5dimes)
Stake: 50

Result: 2-1
W-L-Void: 37-29-1
P/L: +182.5
Overall P/L: +793.81, Total bets: 4975€, ROI 15.95%

Pick 66: Sparta- Jablonec

Sparta is the biggest favorite for this year's championship in Czech Republic and they will be a huge favorite today against Jablonec. Jablonec is missing a lot of players: 6 to be exact (Krajčík, Haurdič, Novák, Eliáš, Jarolím and Vošahlík). Only problem might be the shitty weather here in Prague (i live 500m from Sparta's stadium) which might influence the number of goals scored. Either way Sparta is a huge favorite and odds of 1.67 are just way too generous to miss.

Pick: Sparta Prague @1.67 (Eurobet)
Stake: 100

Result: 2-1
W-L-Void: 36-29-1
P/L: +67
Overall P/L: +611.31, Total bets: 4925€, ROI 12.41%

Pick 65: Caen- Valenciennes

Its the first round of the french league and i am sure lots of matches will end up Under 2.5. However i see a glimpse of goalscoring form in Caen, who are a team familiar with scores such as 3-2, 2-1, 2-2 etc. They played 55% of their matches last season as under and 45% were overs. Valenciennes are a stingy team, but last years matchup between these two teams ended 2-2. I am sure its worth a punt on Over 2 at these odds.

Pick: Over 2 goals @1.88(Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 75

Result: 1-0
W-L-Void: 35-29-1
P/L: -75
Overall P/L: +544.31, Total bets: 4825€, ROI 11.28%