MLB 11.05.2013

We had a "rough outing" yesterday going 2-9 and trimming the profits for May almost entirely. The more we enter the season the sharper the odds get so it can only go up from here. The formulas I have in place seem to be disagreeing with the bookies mainly when a huge underdog faces a good team. I am leaning more towards my formula's opinion. There simply is no baseball game where a team can be a 75% favorite. A 2-3 run homer can change the winner at any point of the game. The plot thickens, I am curious about the outcome of our little venture into cybermetrics.

	Total win chance	Min odds
PIT	0.5191	1.926
NYM	0.4809	2.080

PIT @2.04 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
TOR	0.4906	2.038
BOS	0.5094	1.963

TOR @2.86 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
COL	0.5187	1.928
STL	0.4813	2.078

COL @2.5 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
ATL	0.4924	2.031
SF	0.5076	1.970

ATL @2.2 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
CHC	0.4725	2.116
WAS	0.5275	1.896

CHC @2.81 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
MIL	0.4785	2.090
CIN	0.5215	1.918

MIL @2.8 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
SD	0.4892	2.044
TB	0.5108	1.958

SD @2.44 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
CLE	0.4896	2.042
DET	0.5104	1.959

CLE @3.15 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
LAA	0.5092	1.964
CWS	0.4908	2.037

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
BAL	0.4974	2.010
MIN	0.5026	1.990

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
NYY	0.4945	2.022
KC	0.5055	1.978

NYY @2.28 WON

	Total win chance	Min odds
TEX	0.5440	1.838
HOU	0.4560	2.193

HOU @3.28 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
PHI	0.4804	2.082
ARI	0.5196	1.924

NO BET

	Total win chance	Min odds
MIA	0.4861	2.057
LAD	0.5139	1.946

MIA @2.69 LOST

	Total win chance	Min odds
OAK	0.5237	1.910
SEA	0.4763	2.099

OAK @1.97 WON