I did an analysis for April and May only. March is not on my spreadsheet and i'm too lazy to go back and add it. June was small sample size, lots of different tips which were not limited to1x2 or goals (EURO mania). This would mean the conclusions we can draw from June will be shady to say the least.
Given the number of tips I've got in April and May (a lot!) its safe to say they are enough of an indicator to prove how much I suck at this. They can also prove that punting, without trading is a hell of a nerve-wrecker if you want to make decent money out of it. Anyways, on to what i found out.
Stats only prove what i suspected: I suck on all fields. Since most of my bets are x, the biggest losses occurred when i predicted the draw (how shocking, right?). May brought a 38.17 pts. loss, April -13.8. The number of draw tips in both months were roughly equal to the rest of tips added together. E.g. April tips: x 262 tips, 1 136 tips, 2 102 tips, rest 6 tips.
The home win tips were not terrible, -9 pts. for both months. Away tips, which comes as a bit of a surprise to me is slightly in plus, a bit over 0.5 pts. The rest of the tips (goals, FGS, random other) are too small of a sample size to judge.
I still hope i'm not as bad as I appeared in April and May. I leave the space for correction because of the well known notion that by the end of the season lots of teams are not playing as recent form might suggest. With form being one of the main factors in choosing a selection you can understand how this might bias the numbers. Just look at May, the month where most leagues finished. I lost over 40pts. in total without really changing the way i was choosing my selections.
The battle is long and fearsome but the goal is too sweet to quit. We're moving on, thought by our past mistakes in hope of a better new season.
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