Pick 55: Stromsgodset- Atletico Madrid

Stromsgodset is the best home team in the Norwegian league with a score of 8-1-1. They play on artificial grass, which might also complicate things for Atletico. Atletico is going to Norway with a depleted team, 4 or 5 injuries and without Aguero and De Gea who were sold during the summer. Spanish league doesn't begin in the next three weeks, so Atletico might be a bit rusty, which they actually showed in the first match. These facts combined with the fact that Atletico will be happy with the draw here makes Stromsgodset+1 (AH) an excellent opportunity. I just cant see Atletico winning this by 2.

Pick: Stromsgodset +1 @2.00 (Dafabet)
Stake: 100

Result: 0-2. For crying out loud, can i team i pick NOT concede in the 90th?
W-L-Void: 32-22-1
P/L: -100
Overall P/L: +845.06, total bets: 4175€, ROI 20.24%

Pick 54: Malmo- Glasgow Rangers

Its the end station for the Rangers. Depending on the outcome of this match the whole season might shape up one way or another before it even begins. If they win, they get closer to Champions league money, they are able to sign big names and play big matches. If they lose, they go back to the mediocrity of the Scottish Premier League and watch the Champions league on TV wondering where they went wrong. They showed they have the ability to create chances and score in the first match and it is all up to them to resolve the outcome of this tie. Malmo is struggling in the average Swedish league and surely cant be a match for a 100% focused Glasgow Rangers. Whether that Glasgow Rangers shows up remains to be seen.

Pick: Glasgow -0.25 (AH) @2.12 (Victor Chandler)
Stake: 100

Result: 1-1, half bet returned, half is lost
W-L-Void: 32-21-1
P/L: -50
Overall P/L: +945.06, total bets: 4075€, ROI 23.19%

Pick 53: Rubin Kazan- Dynamo Kiev

All Dynamo can hope for here is to attack like there is no tomorrow and hope they score early. This behavior usually leads to and early goal. The goal line is set at 2 and by the looks of it there is no way Dynamo will go down without a good fight, so my suggestion is to try the Over 2. If the first goal is scored by Dynamo, there is another one coming for sure because the game will open up even more. 2 goals return our bet so its well worth the try

Pick: Over 2 goals @1.84 (Dafabet)
Stake: 75

Result: 2-1, very tight, the weels fell off in the 89th and 90th minute
W-L-Void: 32-20-1
P/L: +63
Overall P/L: +995.06, total bets: 3975€, ROI 25.03%

Pick 52: Slovan Bratislava- APOEL

Slovan Bratislava seem like a very tough opponent to play against. I read a pre-match interview with their coach Jarolim who said that they are ready and that they will play even tougher than in the first match. This being said, i don't expect many goals here (if any), but there's no value in taking the under 2.5. I see slight value, however, in the draw-no-bet market on Slovan because they are offered at 2.07. I rate their chances at about 55% so i suggest a small bet here.

Tip: Slovan+0 (AH) @2.07 (Victor Chandler)
Stake: 50

Result: 0-2
W-L-Void: 31-20-1
P/L: -50
Overall P/L: +932.06, total bets: 3900€, ROI 23.89%

Pick 51: St.Polten- Altach

St.Polten is slowly getting into stride and has won the last two away games. Altach is also showing that they are a capable team, but they have a problem in their scoring lines. They cant seem to score a lot (besides the match against Hartberg, which, lets face it, isn't an achievement) and thsi should show again. Facing a capable opponent both teams seem to play more cautiously, which often results in a snoozefest. The bookies helped a lot here, setting the goal line at 2.75 instead of the standard 2.5. At odds of 2.03 i would take the under all day long.

Pick: Under 2.75 @2.03 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 100

Result: 1-2, half bet lost, half bet returned
W-L-Void: 31-19-1
P/L: -50
Overall P/L: +982.06, total bets: 3850€, ROI 25.50%

Pick 50: FC Lustenau- BW Linz

FC Lustenau are one of the worst teams in Austrian 2 league. BW Linz will be a middle of the pack team that will beat worse teams and lose to better teams. I am going for the away win (draw no bet) purely because of the odds. Bookies are offering 2.00 and i think that is too good to miss. Realistically this match smells like a draw the most, but if anyone wins it it will be BW. They showed some spirit agains WAC in their last away match, losing 3-2with the winning goal in the last 15 minutes. Same scenario repeated in their last home match where they lost 1-2 to St. Polten, with the winning goal comming in the final quarter of the match.

Pick: BW Linz (DNB) @2.00 (188bet)
Stake: 50

Result: 1-0
W-L-Void: 31-18-1
P/L: -50
Overall P/L: +1032.06, total bets: 3750€, ROI 27.52%

Pick 49: Lask Linz- Hartberg

Lask hasnt played a match over 2.5 goals so far this season. On the other hand Hartberg, rock bottom in the league, has played 1 under and 4 overs. Preseason favorites LASK have been struggling to score and a depleted Hartberg (two players suspended) might be just what they need to get things going.

Pick: LASK -1.5 @1.93 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 100

Result: 4-0
W-L-Void: 31-17-1
P/L: +93
Overall P/L: +1082.06, total bets: 3700€, ROI 29.24%

Pick 48: Bate Borisov- Ekranas

I was expecting the odds to be much more even in this match. According to the bookies Bate Borisov is a huge favorite and they give them probability of over 80% to win. I see this as a huge underestimation of the strength of Ekranas. They haven't lost a single match in 17 rounds in the domestic championship and they are surely on their way to another title. The same can be said for Bate, but still, i don't see such a gap between Belorussian and Lithuanian leagues for the odds on Bate to be justified.
Also, Bate will start this match attacking and any opportunity for a fast break could be deadly. That is why i decided to take the handicap +1.75 on the Lithuanians. If Ekranas score for 0-1 i don't see how Bate can turn the match around.

Tip: Ekranas +1.75(AH) @1.86 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 75

Result: 3-1, half bet lost, half bet returned
W-L-Void: 30-17-1
P/L: -37.5
Overall P/L: +989.06, total bets: 3600€, ROI 27.47%

Pick 47: Jablonec- Mlada Boleslav

Both teams have insurmountable disadvantage in their Europa league ties, so i believe they will focus most of their attention to the league beginning. Jablonec coach Komnacky emphasized that the winner of this match will be the team that manages to put their Europa League match behind them. Mlada Boleslav has a lot of problems with injuries. 5 players are missing among which the absence of Neuwirth will most certainly be felt a lot. They will alsso miss Johana, Bulut, Scuk and Fabian. Jablonec doesnt have any problems with injured players besides Jarolim who is uncertain for this match after a mild injury against AZ.
I am leaning on Jablonec side here due to the missing players and the fact that Jablonec had one more round in the Europa league against Albanian Fljamurtari (which they comfortably won). 2 more competitive matches in the legs could sure mean a lot for the players at the beginning of a season.

Tip: Jablonec @2.02 (Dafabet)
Stake: 75

Result: 0-0. Holy f-in crap both teams sucked balls. No wonder most matches in Czech league end under 2.5. Bunch of retarded 18 years olds, physically ready, mentally not so much... If someone managed to hit the goal his team would have won. Atrocious match.
W-L-Void: 30-16-1
P/L: -75
Overall P/L: +1026.56, total bets: 3525€, ROI 29.12%

Pick 46: Pere Riba- Victor Hanescu

Hanescu is playing on his favorite surface in Kitzbuhel and will surely be a tough nut to crack the whole tournament. Main thing that lead me to believe he is a good bet was his recent win against Monfills in the first round of the tournament in Stuttgart and his great run in the Nice tournament where he reached the final and beat some pretty good players along the way. Both tournaments were played on clay. Riba on the other hand doesnt have any big wins recently, mostly beating players ranked 100+ and then losing to the first better player. Last "big" win was against Dodig back in the first round of the French open. I say "big" because Dodig's favorite surface by far isn't the clay.
Market seems to be supporting my oppinion as the odds went from 1.79 to 1.57

Pick: Hanescu to win @1.57 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 100

Result: 2-0 Bet lost
W-L-Void: 30-15-1
P/L: -100
Overall P/L: +1101.56, total bets: 3450€, ROI 31,92%