Monday, August 1, 2011

Pick 46: Pere Riba- Victor Hanescu

Hanescu is playing on his favorite surface in Kitzbuhel and will surely be a tough nut to crack the whole tournament. Main thing that lead me to believe he is a good bet was his recent win against Monfills in the first round of the tournament in Stuttgart and his great run in the Nice tournament where he reached the final and beat some pretty good players along the way. Both tournaments were played on clay. Riba on the other hand doesnt have any big wins recently, mostly beating players ranked 100+ and then losing to the first better player. Last "big" win was against Dodig back in the first round of the French open. I say "big" because Dodig's favorite surface by far isn't the clay.
Market seems to be supporting my oppinion as the odds went from 1.79 to 1.57

Pick: Hanescu to win @1.57 (Pinnaclesports.com)
Stake: 100

Result: 2-0 Bet lost
W-L-Void: 30-15-1
P/L: -100
Overall P/L: +1101.56, total bets: 3450€, ROI 31,92%

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