I was expecting the odds to be much more even in this match. According to the bookies Bate Borisov is a huge favorite and they give them probability of over 80% to win. I see this as a huge underestimation of the strength of Ekranas. They haven't lost a single match in 17 rounds in the domestic championship and they are surely on their way to another title. The same can be said for Bate, but still, i don't see such a gap between Belorussian and Lithuanian leagues for the odds on Bate to be justified.
Also, Bate will start this match attacking and any opportunity for a fast break could be deadly. That is why i decided to take the handicap +1.75 on the Lithuanians. If Ekranas score for 0-1 i don't see how Bate can turn the match around.
Tip: Ekranas +1.75(AH) @1.86 (Ladbrokes)
Stake: 75
Result: 3-1, half bet lost, half bet returned
W-L-Void: 30-17-1
P/L: -37.5
Overall P/L: +989.06, total bets: 3600€, ROI 27.47%
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