Kunitsyn had a wonderful come-back win yesterday when he managed to overcome a 0-2 deficit and win against Bachinger. Melzer is a totally different animal, but i still think they are more or less evenly matched and that we're in for a long one here.
Their only head to head adds to the credibility of this theory because there was virtually nothing between those two and the match ended 6-4 3-6 6-3 in favor of Kunitsyn. However, this was 2008 (on clay) so we shouldn't put that much emphasis on it. Either way i still think Kunitsyn is good enough for a set here, maybe even more.
Pick: Over 3.5 sets @1.72 (bet365)
Stake: 75
Result: 3-2
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