Sunday, February 16, 2014

Russia to get stopped second day in a row

Russia- Slovakia (Sochi Olympics Ice Hockey tournament)

This one is way too tempting not to give it a go. The bookies, as usual, overreacted to the Slovakian loss against Slovenia and set the odds for Russia around the 1.15 mark. I am not saying that Russia shouldn't beat the Slovaks easily, but i strongly believe that they are not able to win 87 matches out of 100 in regular time to justify the 1.15 odds.

Slovakia, after the colossal embarrassment they suffered yesterday will want to put in a better display. They will move some pieces around to achieve that, starting with the goalie. For today's match they are fielding Jan Laco from KHL's Donbas, who has a 1.47 GAA and 94% save percentage in 12 matches on goal for the Ukranian team. If he has a good start to the match he can spark a better performance from the Slovaks.

The Russians lost an epic match against USA yesterday in a shootout and i believe it will be much harder to find the motivation against Slovakia today. They might underestimate Slovakia and let them get an early lead, which might prove disastrous because Slovakia is actually a better suited team to play on the counter-attack, rather than attack most of the match. They sure proved that yesterday against Slovenia.

I chose Slovakia on the double chance, but if you are into riskier, high reward bets, the draw looks very appealing to me at this moment. It can be found at odds of 12.

Pick: Slovakia or draw (60 mins) @6.5 (MarathonBet)

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