Friday, November 18, 2011

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Tipster portfolio selections nr.5

Todays matches:

Snooker: O'Sullivan and S.Murphy
Football: Santos
Goals: Atletiko Mineiro Over2.5

Good luck!

Result: +1.31 in level stakes. If your stakes were 10, you would have a 13.1 points profit.

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Tipster portfolio selections nr.4

Some picks for today:

Wins:Ghana, Ukraine, Croatia, Denmark, Switzerland, Poland, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, France
Goals: Germany O2.5
Cricket: Victoria

Result: Average day slightly in the green. If level stakes applied the matches would have brought a profit of 0.61 (If the stake you use is 10$, you would have achieved a 6.1$ profit total).

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Tipster portfolio selections nr.3

Since i haven't posted an NHL preview in about a week here's what the guys from my tipster portfolio think about some of tonight's matches:

1. Florida win
2. Detroit (-1.5) win
3. Montreal (-1.5) win

The same warning applies. Though the tipsters that gave these tips are very good, take these picks as a guideline more than a rock solid moneymaker.

Result: 2 of 3 were winners. If level stakes were applied 1.94 profit would be achieved.

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

Tipster portfolio selections

Since the tipster portfolio i am creating is a grueling job and there's no way of putting some work in my personal previews i might as well share some of the tips by the tipsters in my portfolio.

Tonight's selection:

1. Elgin over 2.5
2. Alloa or draw
3. Gasquet to win
4. Annan athletic (-1)AH

Use them wisely and remember: they are a part of a bigger picture, so don't bet your house on them.

Result: 4 out of 4 successful. I frankly cant remember the last time when i went 4 /4. Does this prove anything? Probably not!! Still a lot of work left.

Monday, November 7, 2011

Pick 192: Seppi- Davydenko

This match would have been of no interest to me at the opening odds (Davydenko win around 1.6). The market moved in a favorable direction this morning and i'd be more than happy to take Davydenko at a price around 1.8.
Davydenko leads the head to head 3-1, 3-0 in the last three. The only loss against Seppi came on grass in 2004. Another huge factor in this one should be the amount of matches played lately. While Davydenko has played 5 matches last month and one match this month (the loss against Ferer in the QF in Valencia) Seppi has played 10 matches the last month and another 4 already this month, the most recent one against Querrey yesterday (a win in 3 sets).
Seppi has shown some good form lately, but a deeper look at the opponents shows that the draw was favorable in a lot of the latest matches. He won the Mons tournament in October beating Bennetau, Darcis, Berankis, Jaziri and Burquier on the way to the win. We can agree that none of these players represents the very best in tennis at the moment. Other than that he lost to Berrer, Cilis and Nishikori in the following few tournaments he played.
Davydenko doesn't play as much tournaments. Despite the loss to Darcis in he first round in Vienna all other losses lately came against top-notch oponents. Tipsarevic beat him twice, Djokovic once and Ferrer once to end his tournament campaigns in Valencia, Moscow, Kuala Lumpur and the US open.

Pick: Davydenko @1.77 (betonline)
Stake: 100

Result: LOST

Saturday, November 5, 2011

Tipster portfolio selections

Over the past few days i have been working on a tipster portfolio compiled from the biggest tipster websites i could find. The tipsters are chosen according to their field of expertise and the whole thing is in testing phase. Of course according to the performance of the tipsters i will be balancing the stakes, decide on conflicting tips and maybe drop or add tipsters. Here's a sneak peek of what they said for today (all stakes are the same, odds are found using oddsportal):

Winners: Werder (1.52), Cardif (1.95), Ipswich (1.77), Southampton (1.85), Tranmere (2.26), Shef.utd (2.75), Carlisle (2.73) , Chesterfield (2.38), Oldham (2.07), Hartlepool (4.23)

Draws: Sh.wednesday (3.88), Blackpool (3.52)

Goals: Queens park- Annan U3(1.79), P.Vale o2.75 (1.95), liverpool U3 (1.79), blackpool o2.5 (1.9), Gateshead o2.5 (1.65), Newport c o2.5(1.73), Crewe o2.5 (1.83)

Take these tips with caution because they only represent a part of the tips they've given for the matches starting before 16.00 CET. The total is more than 40, however even this might help someone find a winner since they are coming from really good tipsters that know what are they doing. Good luck to you all.

P.S.: This has nothing to do with my regular tips. That will return hopefully today.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Pick 191: NY Rangers- San Jose Sharks

Its Sharks' last match of a 6 game long road trip. Result so far: flawless 5-0-0! They have totally forgotten about the 1-3-0 start and swept all comers aside. And there were some tough teams among those: Detroit, Boston, Nashville, New jersey and the Islanders were all crushed and there's only one more before they go back home. The shaky Rangers.
Rangers started the hectic season in Europe, then went to the west coast, then Canada before returning back home. The grueling schedule helped deplete Rangers defense and the record shows that: 3-3-3. Mark Staal is nearing his comeback, but he's not ready yet. Today's practice was without Del Zoto (another defender) and Anisimov and Rupp is also having knee problems. So most of the team is banged up and the Rangers are doing all in their power to contain the score and not to lose ground before the injured players come back. There's one callup from AHL for today's match: Andre Deveaux, who will fill the 4th line. Besides Gaborik and Richards, who have 8pts each, there's no scoring help from the others and the Rangers look pathetic at times. This could especially be seen in the SO loss to Otawa two days ago.

Pick: San Jose (in 60 min)@ 2.3(expect)
Stake: 50

Result: LOST

Pick 190: Fenerbahce- Kardemir Karabuk

Fenerbahce is the clear favorite here and i think the good prices for Fenerbahce win and all different handicaps are already gone. Betting on Fenerbahce at 1.3 or the 1.5AH at 1.8 is way too risky.
I do however see an opportunity in the goals market, where over 2.5 is offered at 1.7. I see this as a generous offer especially considering the fact that we have a huge home favorite who wont be satisfied by just scoring one goal. Fenerbahce are coming of a huge 2-2 draw against Besiktas and a disappointing home draw against Samsun, so i think its finally time for a show at their own field.
Karabuk aren't having the best start. They are currently 15th with 2-2-4 score and 9-11 goal difference. They are showing signs of improvement lately, drawing against Samsun 0-0 and defeating Buyuksehir 2-0. Even in the three losses before these two matches they managed to score a goal in each encounter (2-1 Manisa, 2-1 Ordu, 3-1 Trabzon). If they manage to squeeze one past Fener too i am confident this bet will be a winner because i don't see any other outcome than Fenerbahce win in this one.

Pick: Over 2.5 @1.7 (expect)
Stake: 100

Result: LOST

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Pick 189: Columbus- Anaheim

Backup goalies seem to be getting most of the minutes against the Columbus Blue Jackets this season. Tonight will be no exception when Dan Ellis will take the ice for Anaheim, the 4th consecutive team that sends their 2nd goalie on the ice against the Jackets. Columbus doesn't seem to benefit from the sub-par goaltending though. They are bottom of the league with 1-9-1 score and special teams that make you sad even when you look at them.
However some glimpse of improvement has been shown over the last few matches. Last home match they defeated the Detroit Red Wings quite convincingly 4-1. Then they went on to fire 43 shots against Buffalo, the most this season, in a loss 4-2. After that followed yet another defeat away against Chicago, champions from two seasons ago, where they managed to fire 27 shots. A statistic comparing this year's forward performance to the average career stats shows a decrease in most categories in every forward's stats with a few exceptions here and there (and even those are +0.01 from the average most of the time). There's no way every single forward on the Columbus roster will end up the season worse than the last year. This in terms means that sooner or later most of the players will start nearing towards this average of theirs and start putting points on the board.
Tonight's opponent might be a good starting point. The ducks are in the middle of a grueling 7 game road trip, having played 3 already (1-1-1 score) so far and losing the most recent one, yesterday against Nashville 3-0 in one of the poorest performances so far.
These facts combined with the tempting odds on Columbus seem to make this bet a good proposition.

Pick: Columbus (in 60min) @2.79 (bet365)
Stake: 75

Result: WON