Sunday, October 30, 2011

Pick 189: Columbus- Anaheim

Backup goalies seem to be getting most of the minutes against the Columbus Blue Jackets this season. Tonight will be no exception when Dan Ellis will take the ice for Anaheim, the 4th consecutive team that sends their 2nd goalie on the ice against the Jackets. Columbus doesn't seem to benefit from the sub-par goaltending though. They are bottom of the league with 1-9-1 score and special teams that make you sad even when you look at them.
However some glimpse of improvement has been shown over the last few matches. Last home match they defeated the Detroit Red Wings quite convincingly 4-1. Then they went on to fire 43 shots against Buffalo, the most this season, in a loss 4-2. After that followed yet another defeat away against Chicago, champions from two seasons ago, where they managed to fire 27 shots. A statistic comparing this year's forward performance to the average career stats shows a decrease in most categories in every forward's stats with a few exceptions here and there (and even those are +0.01 from the average most of the time). There's no way every single forward on the Columbus roster will end up the season worse than the last year. This in terms means that sooner or later most of the players will start nearing towards this average of theirs and start putting points on the board.
Tonight's opponent might be a good starting point. The ducks are in the middle of a grueling 7 game road trip, having played 3 already (1-1-1 score) so far and losing the most recent one, yesterday against Nashville 3-0 in one of the poorest performances so far.
These facts combined with the tempting odds on Columbus seem to make this bet a good proposition.

Pick: Columbus (in 60min) @2.79 (bet365)
Stake: 75

Result: WON

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