Let's do another one

After the success of my yesterday post, i will give it a go one more time, this time including the match, so you can follow, if you so please.

1.Podbeskidzie - Zaglebie

Match of polish Ekstraklasa relegation group between Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala and Zaglebie Lubin.

Will be short here.

Situation in Ekstraklasa is clera: both Zaglebie and Widzew are already relegated. Podbeskdizie is safe.

Zaglebie didnt have motivation for fight even when they had chances to avoid relegation. Will they have it now ? Yea, fuckin funny :D

Fact is that 90% of a team will left it after this season, so they don't really care what is goin on now with a Zaglebie.

Podbeskidzie with Ojrzynski on bench started to play very decent football and they stay in league.

Under 1.5 stats for both teams [over1.5/under1.5]:

Podbeskidzie ; 11/8

Zaglebie ; 12/7

But the main reason why i take it at such generous odd is an info that injured is Zaglebie's top scorer Piech (34/14) [imo one of few players in team who is worth to be respected football player] and Abwo (35/7). They both are best Zaglebie's players, and 80% of their offensive power..

Weather : it will be rainyyyyy and stromyyyy. Not the ebst weather to make an effective football tiki taka with load of goals :D

Imo we will see boring match with lack of goal situations.

1:0, or 0:0.

ps.: decent choice is a Home win + under 2.5 goals (as a one bet) at odds arround 4.75.

While trying to push the thesis that this will be a low scoring affair the tipster actually persuaded me that this will be a home win :). Go figure. 

He stated Zaglebie is already relegated and Podbeskidizie is safe. Yay home team.

He then stated 90% of the away team will leave after the season. Given the situation, even if 90% is too big of a number, I believe the best players will truly want to leave and play for Ekstraklasa teams. Yay home team again.

Away team's top scorer and another standard first team member are out. Yay home team.

He mentioned the weather as well, but i fail to see how that affects the eventual winner of the match. On top, he sure possesses some extra knowledge on the league, probably because he is a local. He has proven that, posting over 4% ROI over 100+ tips. While i wouldn't entirely confront him, i am more than happy to deduct from his thesis and go a different direction, placing my money on a home win. With the odds at 2.00 i'd be crazy not to.

Result: 2-0 home win for a 1.0 level stakes profit