It is silly to take the bookies opinion in this match and go with the home win. Several factors forced me to say this. Armenia, though being the surprise pack in these qualifiers, haven't really been that amazing as much as the opposition was weak. Out of the 4 wins they have so far 2 came against Andorra and 2 against Slovakia. Even though i respect Slovakia i can't really place them in the very best group of European teams. In the reverse fixture they almost shocked Macedonia in Skopje but couldn't hold on and conceded in the 90th minute on a questionable penalty. This match came as a shock to everybody in Macedonia, but i am sure the expectations will be adjusted now and they will take the match way more seriously.
On Macedonian side a couple of regulars are missing (Pandev, Tasevski, Naumovski, Ibraimi) but considering the way all 4 of them played recently that will be more of a benefit then a loss. The team was relying heavily on them and they dissapointed each and every time for the last few matches. Instead of them 4 young players with the will to impress will go out and give their 110%. Lead by young Trickovski who's in the form of his life (APOEL), supported by the experience of the older players (Noveski, Popov) i believe Macedonia will be at least 50/50 favorite to win this match.
Pick: Macedonia(+1) AH @1.65 (188bet)
Stake: 100
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