Saturday, October 15, 2011

Pick 165: Buffalo Sabres- Carolina Hurricanes

Its the first home match of the season for the Sabres, after playing their two first matches in Europe. Wins of 4-1 and 4-2 against the Ducks and Kings give them a perfect start of the season, atmosphere should be electric, but there is a sense they are still beatable. Both matches they played in Europe ended with Sabres wins, but paradoxically in both matches they were out-shot by the opponents. Even further, they managed to have a third with 0 shots on goal (!!) against the Ducks in the 3rd. With the week off they might be a bit rusty at the start and sometimes that all the opponent needs to get it going.
Carolina are coming of a big home win against the reigning champs Boston and that will surely show in their attitude towards the match and their confidence. They are usually a very offensive minded team and stats show that at the beginning of the season too. They have same number of shots for and shot against (124, 31 per match). With this number of shots and some solid saves from Ward on goal they can cause a surprise in Buffalo.

Pick: Hurricanes (incl OT and SO) @2.65 (bwin)
Stake: 50

Result: WON

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