Thursday, October 27, 2011

Pick 182: Nashville- Tampa Bay

Nashville have started their season with three consecutive home losses. Tampa are coming of a three game winning streak, two of which against the Buffalo Sabres.With the crowd in Nashville getting anxious and with the returns of Bullion, Fisher and possibly even Erat i think this is a good opportunity for the Preds to take this one away from the Bolts.
On paper these teams play a totally different style of hockey. Tampa's games usually end up goal-fests (3.22 Gf/3.11 Ga), while Nashville plays much tighter games (2.00 Goals for/2.75 Goals against). 5 on 5 Nashville is worse, ratio 0.69 GF/GA, while Tampa has a 1.15 index. However on the PP and the PK Nashville is among the top 1/3 in the league with a PP of 17.2% (5/29) and Pk of 86.8 (5/38). Tampa's special teams are not so hot right now. PP is at 13.3% (4/30) and PK is at 84.1% (7/44).
Basically it will all come down to Preds goalie Rinne performance since we will see a lot of shots being fired at him. All of Preds points so far this year can be credited to his efforts. If he gets couple of good saves early and Preds score a goal first they have a real chance of winning this one.

Pick: Nashville (incl OT and SO) @1.95 (Betonline)
Stake: 75

Result: WON

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