Vancouver are coming of a 5-1 win against Nashville. The Wild won at Edmonton 2-1 in OT in an emotional win when they managed to level the scores at 0.5 seconds till the end of the match.
On paper this seems like an easy win for the Canucks especially in their home arena considering their last match ended in a one sided 5-0 win for them. Last year the season series went 4-2-0 in favor of Vancouver.
A deeper look into the stats shows a not so big difference in the teams performances so far. 5 on 5 play they are both at around 1.00 goals scored/received ratio. Power play is the stat in which the Canucks have the edge. They've managed to score 7 of 39 attempts. Minnesota on the other hand doesn't have killer stats in he PK area and have 81.8% success rate, but another stat amazed me. Minnesota is first in second in the league in shots blocked and best in the hits department. This translates into a tough defense where nothing comes easy, which can be seen in the goals against, respectful 2.29 per match. If they hang in long enough they can win just about every match. Just like they did in Edmonton.
Today's task might be even easier with the absence of Canucks starting goalie Luongo. For a small stake i would recommend a bet on a surprise here.
Pick: Minnesota @2.9 (incl OT and SO)
Stake: 50
Result: LOST
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