Monday, October 17, 2011

Pick 170: Edmonton- Nashville

A gift from Nordicbet. Edmonton will at least have a 50/50 shot of winning this one and having odds of 2.95 for them to win it in regular time is a luxury i can't miss.
Edmonton are every bit as good as Nashville and especially in their home arena they will give Nashville some trouble. Edmonton are better in 5 on 5 play (1.00 goals scored/goals received ratio to 0.62 Nashville) and given the fact that Nashville are not good penalty drawers (only 5 min of powerplay per game average) i can safely conclude that our bet is a good one even if it turns out a loser. On top, Nashville has been out-shot by all opponents so far this season. Their shot on goal to shot against ratio is 25.8/34.8. Edmonton is better, but still in minus (29/31.7).
Only trouble that can arise is Edmonton's inability to stay out of the penalty box. They are second worst with 19.7 mins per game and Nashville will punish such behavior, their powerplay is 4/13. Provided they do that and the second line produces the way they've produced so far, Edmonton can win this one easy.

Pick: Edmonton (win in 60 mins)@2.95 (Nordicbet)
Stake: 75

Result: WON

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