Saturday, October 15, 2011

Pick 166: Trebic- Usti nad Labem

Trebic so far have been performing far below their abilities and deservedly find themselves at the last place with 8 points and 1-1-3-7 score. As with every young team they need some time to get things going and results are starting to come lately. They've collected points in all of their last 3 home matches and almost created the sensation of the day in Wednesday when they took a two goal lead in the first 1/3 against Chomutov on their ice but didn't hold on to the lead and lost in OT.
Usti are a clear contender for the title this year, beating everyone that comes their way. They top the table with a score of 9-1-0-2 and 55-18 goal difference. At home they have a fort, 7-1-0-0 score and they've had mixed success in the 4 away matches, winning 2 and losing 2 of them. This match marks the beginning of a 4 game road trip for them and i believe this will be a good test of the real strength of the team.
What makes this match interesting and not so day-in-the-office win for Usti is the fact that both matches last year and 3 of the last 6 went in OT. Also, the power-play of Trebic, although they are rock bottom on the table is very good, in fact even better than Usti's with 21.57% conversion. With a few good power-plays Trebic can give Usti a run for their money.

Pick: Trebic(+1.5)AH @1.88 (bwin)
Stake: 75

Result: WON

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