Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Pick 171: Benatky- Chomutov

Benatky is the surprise pack of the competition this year. They haven't lost in regulation since the 4th round, meaning they've taken points 9 games in a row. From a team that everyone saw as a Liberec farm team they've transformed into a contender for the first places. Lukas Kral is the player with most points in the league overall with 17 (4+13) and the goalie Stejskal is 4th in the league in save percentage with 92.5%. In the last 5 Benatky has a score of 3/1/1/0, both of the draws coming in away matches. At home they have won 4 of the last 5 and all wins came in regulation. Goal difference 18:11. Its noteworthy to mention thet they had shootouts in the last two home matches.
Chomutov have been getting into stride lately. They finally climbed up to a position that represents their ambitions more truthfully and now hold the 2nd place. Their away for has improved a lot too, they have two wins in a row. However, i feel the wins came against below average opponents (Pisek and Litomerice). Before that they played two teams(Jihlava and Olomouc)that are more like today's opponents and lost both. Their away score is 3/0/0/3 with goal difference 18:13 which means they play a lot of tight low scoring games and yet haven't drawn one so far.
The last two matches these two teams played ended in a regulation draw so that is the best indicator of how unpredictable the outcome of this one can be. Whenever that is the case i love to take the higher odds and today that says Benatky. My prediction is Benatky win in OT.

Pick: Benatky (incl OT and SO)@2.25 (Bet365)
Stake: 75

Result: WON

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